KEY TOPICS AND THEMES
Strategic Directions for the Evolving Mining Sector
MINEX Kazakhstan 2026 is far more than a mere event 




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Kazakhstan’s mining and metallurgical sector enters 2026 amid a profound transformation of its regulatory and financial frameworks. The industry faces an unprecedented convergence of opportunities linked to the energy transition, alongside systemic challenges such as sweeping tax reforms and sharply rising production costs. 1 January 2026 marks the adoption of a new Tax Code, while amendments to the Subsoil Code enacted in late 2025 fundamentally recalibrate the balance between state oversight and private capital.
By 2026, the mining industry in Kazakhstan will operate under a model in which access to mineral resources is directly tied to investment in technology and processing. The success of this transformation will depend on the transparency of digital platforms, the independence of laboratory controls, and business adaptability to increased tax and energy burdens.
CHALLENGES, TRENDS, KEY QUESTIONS
1. Global Context and Kazakhstan’s Position
The sector’s development is shaped by three powerful global dynamics:
- Demographics and Demand: The growth of urban populations and the middle class ensure sustained long-term demand for mineral resources.
- Energy Transition: Low-carbon technologies are dramatically intensifying the need for copper, lithium, and rare earth metals.
- Geopolitical Volatility: Trade barriers and local conflicts are reshaping supply chains, compelling consumers to seek stable, alternative sources.
Globally, the mining and metallurgical industry is experiencing accelerated cost inflation-driven by rising expenditures on energy and labour. Tax burdens in some areas now match or exceed global averages, prompting both business and government to seek equilibrium between fiscal aims and investment appeal.
2. Kazakhstan’s Subsoil Use Reform: Priority Rights and Digitalisation
Late 2025 brought sweeping legislative changes in Kazakhstan, aimed at robust digitalisation and attracting major partners:
- Priority Rights for Strategic Investors: Investors launching large-scale projects (>50 billion tenge) have been granted the right to acquire sites outside traditional auction processes, shortening the investment cycle that globally can stretch up to 18 years from discovery to extraction.
- Unified Digital Infrastructure: State digital platforms are now legally recognised as the primary tools for managing subsoil use, integrating geological data and government services in a single-window format.
- National Geological Information Operator: The state service is now a centralized data custodian, precluding privatization and preventing fragmentation of geological information.
- Localisation and Domestic Value: The mandatory share of Kazakhstani work and services has increased to 70% for exploration and mining of solid minerals and uranium.
3. Financial Architecture: Capital Attraction and State Support
Kazakhstan is deploying new financing tools focused on building high value-added operations:
- Support for Critical Materials: State financial institutions have launched a $1 billion program for projects involving the extraction and processing of rare and critical metals, running through 2030. International-standard reporting is a core funding requirement.
- Stock Markets: Successful listings by international companies on local exchanges—including capital raised in foreign currencies—demonstrate investor confidence in the nation’s financial infrastructure.
- Junior Financing: A dedicated fund is expected for early-stage geological exploration companies, stimulating resource base replenishment.
4. Oversight and Scientific Infrastructure
A key strategic direction is strengthening government oversight of export quality and bolstering scientific foundations:
- Independent Laboratory Control: Kazakhstan is establishing a roster of accredited labs for mandatory chemical analysis of ores and concentrates, curbing illicit export of valuable components and ensuring export transparency.
- Research Centres: With international collaboration, regional centres dedicated to rare earth metals are being established, enabling advanced raw material analysis and the development of domestic processing technologies.
5. Sectoral Challenges and the 2026 Tax Reform
- Tax Reform: Effective January 1, 2026, a new Tax Code comes into force: the base VAT rate rises to 16%, and a progressive scale for personal income tax is introduced for highly paid professionals. Tax incentives include a tenfold reduction in extraction taxes for processing industrial waste, and zero rates for low-profit deposits.
- Uranium Sector: The mandatory share of the national operator in new projects is increased to 75%, and to 90% for contract renewals, affirming state sovereignty over strategic resources.
- Gold Mining: Stability persists, but the main challenge shifts to processing refractory ores; all refined metal continues to be purchased by the state.
- Energy Factor: Projected increases in electricity transmission tariffs (up to 50%) and aging infrastructure are compelling enterprises to invest in energy efficiency and renewable sources.
